Though Politico has information up from Pew which says that Hillary would beat Giuliani in the general election not all the data supports that conclusion. The more recent Quinnipiac University study showed the opposite.
Giuliani edges Hillary in a general election match-up 45-43. Obama performs better in his general election heat with Giuliani, Obama edges Giuliani 43-42.
Further, when Hillary matches up well against Thompson winning 46-41, whereas Obama beats Thompson 45-37. They both match-up similarly against McCain and Romney.
This post is mostly meant to be a mockery of the posts which suggest that we can predict the results of an election that is over 12 months away. As Senator Obama said during the most recent debate, "Part of the reason that Republicans, I think, are obsessed with you, Hillary, is because that's a fight they're very comfortable having. It is the fight that we've been through since the '90s."
The question of who will be the strongest general election candidate shouldn't be something that we decide by looking at poll numbers. Which candidate will be the best at letting attacks roll off his/her back without affecting public opinion? Which candidate will be the best at pointing out the Republican candidate's weaknesses without appearing to be too negative?
I know that every candidate's supporters are going to say that it is their candidate who can best respond to Republican attacks, so it is something we will have to disagree on, but we should be able to agree that general election polls don't matter 2 months before the first caucus and one year before the election... even when they reflect well on your candidate (as the above Quinnipiac poll does for mine).
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